NCERT Solutions for Class 12 Maths Chapter 13 – Probability Exercise 13.2

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Chapter 13 – Probability Exercise 13.2

1.

 Class 12 probability question involving conditional outcomes – Q1

Flashcard for Question 1

Quick Tip: Use independence: P(A ∩ B) = P(A) Γ— P(B).

Common Mistake: Adding probabilities or using the union formula instead of multiplying; forgetting this works only if A and B are independent.

Exercise 13.2 Q1 Class 12 probability stepwise solution

2.

NCERT Exercise 13.2 question on event probabilities – Q2

Flashcard for Question 2

Quick Tip: Without replacement β†’ multiply sequential probabilities: (26/52) Γ— (25/51) = 25/102.

Common Mistake: Treating draws as with replacement (using 26/52 twice), or forgetting to reduce the denominator on the second draw

NCERT Q2 Exercise 13.2 solution involving conditional formula

3.

Conditional probability scenario using basic events – Q3

Flashcard for Question 3

Quick Tip: For β€œall good” without replacement, multiply sequential probabilities: (12/15) Γ— (11/14) Γ— (10/13).

Common Mistake: Treating draws as with replacement (using 12/15 three times) or accidentally including outcomes with a bad orange.

Q3 answer – Conditional events breakdown

4.

Class 12 NCERT problem involving use of P(A|B) – Q4

Flashcard for Question 4

Quick Tip: Check independence using P(A ∩ B) = P(A) Γ— P(B). Calculate each probability separately and compare.

Common Mistake: Assuming independence without verification or mixing up with mutually exclusive events (they’re different concepts).

 Q4 answer with P(A|B) calculation steps

5.

Probability word problem involving sets and events – Q5

Flashcard for Question 5

Quick Tip: Compute P(A), P(B), and P(A ∩ B). Then check if P(A ∩ B) = P(A) Γ— P(B).

Common Mistake: Confusing colour grouping with even/odd grouping, or forgetting to divide by 6 (total outcomes).

Exam Insight: Always write probabilities as fractions over total outcomes before comparingβ€”this shows independence clearly and avoids silly mistakes.

Q5 answer using basic rules of probability

6.

 Advanced conditional probability application – NCERT Q6

Flashcard for Question 6

Quick Tip: For independence, check if P(E ∩ F) = P(E) Γ— P(F).

Common Mistake: Just comparing P(E) + P(F) with 1 or assuming independence without checking the product rule.

Exam Insight: Write down P(E), P(F), and their product firstβ€”if it matches the given P(E ∩ F), then independent; otherwise, not. This direct method saves time in exams.

 Step-by-step method for Q6 conditional probability

7.

Q7 from Exercise 13.2 – Probability question on total outcomes
 Q7 solution start – Total outcomes and conditional values
 Class 12 Q7 probability solution – conclusion

8.

 Scenario-based question requiring use of probability theorem – Q8
Q8 answer involving probability of union of events
 Continuation of Q8 solution with complete logic

9.

Class 12 NCERT Exercise 13.2 – Event-based logic problem – Q9

Flashcard for Question 9

Quick Tip: Use De Morgan’s law: P(not A and not B) = 1 – P(A βˆͺ B). Then apply P(A βˆͺ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B).

Common Mistake: Forgetting to subtract P(A ∩ B) when finding P(A βˆͺ B), leading to double counting.

Exam Insight: Always reduce the problem to union/intersection formulas first – it’s faster and avoids mistakes in β€œnot A and not B” type questions.

 Class 12 Exercise 13.2 Q9 – Conditional setup answer

10.

Card selection probability with dependent events – Q10

Flashcard for Question 10

Quick Tip: Convert β€œnot A or not B” into 1 – P(A ∩ B). Then compare P(A ∩ B) with P(A) Γ— P(B) to test independence.

Common Mistake: Mixing up β€œnot A or not B” with β€œnot (A ∩ B)” – careless handling of complements often leads to wrong probability.

 Q10 Class 12 answer with use of dependent event logic

11.

Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 11-Bayes’ theorem-related question- NCERT
Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 11 Bayes’ theorem applied-1,2,3,4 - NCERT Answer1,2,3,4

12.

Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 12-focusing on dependent events- NCERT

Flashcard for Question 12

Quick Tip: Use complement: P(at least once odd) = 1 – P(no odd in 3 tosses).

Common Mistake: Trying to count all favourable cases directly instead of using complement, which is much simpler.

Exam Insight: In β€œat least once” problems, always think of the complementβ€”it saves time and avoids messy casework.

Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 12 breakdown using basic and conditional probability
- NCERT Answer

13.

Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 13-Real-world conditional probability - NCERT

Flashcard for Question 13

Quick Tip: Since it’s with replacement, probabilities stay the same for both draws. Use multiplication for sequential events.

Common Mistake: Forgetting replacement ruleβ€”many students reduce the denominator on the second draw, which is only correct for without replacement.

Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 13  Probability logic applied-1 - NCERT Answer-1
Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 13 clarification-2 - NCERT Answer-2

14.

Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 14-Two-stage probability setup using formula- NCERT

Flashcard for Question 14

Quick Tip: Use complement for part (i): P(solved) = 1 – P(both fail). For part (ii), add probabilities of β€œA solves, B fails” and β€œB solves, A fails.”

Common Mistake: Forgetting independence when multiplying probabilities of success/failure, or double counting the case when both solve.

Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 14 explanation involving compound events-1 - NCERT Answer-1
Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2  image for Q14 result-1 - NCERT Answer-1

15.

Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 15-robability question involving prior knowledge
- NCERT
Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 15 probability breakdown
-1 - NCERT Answer-1
Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 15 showing conditional result
-2 - NCERT Answer-2

16.

Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 16-Use of partition theorem in probability- NCERT

Flashcard for Question 16

Quick Tip: Use Venn diagram logic. Apply inclusion–exclusion: P(H βˆͺ E) = P(H) + P(E) – P(H ∩ E). Then use conditional probability for (b) and (c).

Common Mistake: Forgetting to subtract the intersection when finding union, or mixing up conditional probability formula P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B).

Exam Insight: Always calculate the β€œneither” case first (complement of union). For conditional parts, directly plug into the formula – this is a common exam scoring area where clarity matters.

Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 16 Theorem of total probability applied-a - NCERT Answer-a
Q16 final result image for Class 12 NCERT

17.

Class 12 Probability Exercise 13.2 Question 17  case analysis - NCERT Answer

18.

Complex Class 12 problem solved – Q18

Download Exercise 13.2 NCERT Solutions PDF

You can download the PDF from the link below for offline study

Class 12 Maths Chapter 13 – Probability: All Exercises

ExerciseLink
Exercise 13.1View Solutions
Exercise 13.3View Solutions
Miscellaneous ExerciseView Solutions

Class 12 Probability- Exercise 13.2 Overview

By exposing you to Bayes’ Theoremβ€”a strong idea applied in both theory and real-life problem-solvingβ€”Probability Class 12 NCERT Solutions Exercise 13.2 pushes your grasp of probability to the next level. This exercise teaches students exactly the opposite of how we often view probabilityβ€”how to calculate the likelihood of an underlying cause when the outcome is known.

For situations involving reversing the conditionsβ€”such as determining the cause when the consequence is knownβ€”this exercise helps students develop a strong conceptual basis. Probability Class 12 NCERT Solutions Exercise 13.2 helps students in properly utilizing Bayes’ Theorem whether it is deciding whether machine generated a defective product or determining the probability of a student belonging to a given group based on their behavior.

Although at first glance this section of the text seems abstract, in data science, artificial intelligence, medical testing, and even meteorology it is absolutely vital. This part’s questions challenge pupils to go backwards, therefore improving their analytical and logical skills.

Mastery of this activity becomes even more crucial with the revised 2025 NCERT syllabus stressing practical applications. Our detailed answers on Cogniks guarantee students not only find the right response but also grasp the application of Bayes’ Theorem in every situation.

FAQs – Probability Class 12 Exercise 13.2 NCERT

What relevance does Bayes’ Theorem have in Exercise 13.2?Β 

The Theorem of Bayes helps you ascertain, from a result, the probability of a cause. This helps one to reverse a conditional probability problem.

From Exercise 13.1, how different is Exercise 13.2?

Exercise 13.1 is on forward conditional probability. Exercise 13.2 tackles the reversal of probability seen in Bayes’ Theorem.Β 

What is Bayes’ Theorem’s equation?Β 

Should events 𝐸 1, 𝐸 2… E n split the sample space and A is an event, then
≅𝐴 βˆ£πΊπ‘– ∣𝐴 𝐺𝑖 ∣𝐴 𝐺𝑖 ∣𝐴 𝐺𝑖 ∣𝐴 𝐺𝑖 ∣𝐴 𝐺𝑖 ∣𝐴 𝐺𝑖 ∣𝐴 𝐺𝑖 ∣𝐴 𝐺𝑖 ∣𝐴 𝐺𝑖 ∣𝐴 𝐺𝑖 ∣𝐴 𝐺𝑖 ∣
1 𝑛𝑃 (𝐸𝑗) β‹… (𝑃 ∣𝐴 βˆ£π‘—).
P(E)= βˆ‘ j=1 n P(A∣E j ω 

Does one have to understand the formula or memorize it?

While memorizing helps you quickly answer questions on tests, comprehending directs you in knowing when to use it.

Is it possible to use Bayes’ Theorem in real life for this exercise?

Of course. False positives and negatives in medical testing; spam filters; artificial intelligence predictions; more all depend on it.Β 

The questions in Exercise 13.2 confuse meβ€”what should I do?

Focus on spotting.
β€’ The former opportunities
β€’ Said is the anticipated outcome.
β€’ The conditional likelihood
β€’ Methodically use Bayes’ Theorem after that.

Class 12 Maths Chapters

Chapter 1 – Relations and Functions
Chapter 2 – Inverse Trigonometric Functions
Chapter 3 – Matrices
Chapter 4 – Determinants
Chapter 5 – Continuity and Differentiability
Chapter 6 – Application of Derivatives
Chapter 7 – Integrals
Chapter 8 – Application of Integrals
Chapter 9 – Differential Equations
Chapter 10 – Vector Algebra
Chapter 11 – Three Dimensional Geometry
Chapter 12 – Linear Programming
Chapter 13 – Probability

Important Questions for Class 12